Trump será presidente, según la IA que acertó en las tres últimas elecciones en USA - El Estratega

Trump será presidente, según la IA que acertó en las tres últimas elecciones en USA

30 Octubre, 2016

Un sistema de inteligencia artificial que predijo correctamente las tres últimas elecciones presidenciales de Estados Unidos pone al candidato republicano Donald Trump por delante de su rival demócrata Hillary Clinton en la carrera por la Casa Blanca.

MogIA (así se llama el sistema) ha sido desarrollado por el indio Sanjiv Rai, fundador de Genic.ai y miembro del Foro de Davos, y toma 20 millones de puntos de datos de plataformas como Google, Facebook, Twitter y YouTube en los EE.UU. y después analiza la información para crear predicciones.

El sistema ha medido el engagement del candidato en Twitter y Facebook, y el resultado es que Trump supera el máximo conseguido por Barack Obama en 2008 -el año en que fue elegido presidente- en un 25%.

“Si Trump pierde, será desafiar la tendencia de los datos por primera vez en los últimos 12 años desde que empezamos a tomarnos en serio lo que se dice en Internet,” ha declarado Rai a la CNBC.

El creador de MogIA reconoce que la medición es compleja por varios factores: en primer lugar el hecho de que alguien interactúe con un tweet Trump no significa que lo apoye y, por otra parte, en la actualidad hay más gente en redes sociales que en las tres elecciones anteriores, por lo que el margen de error es más amplio.

Sin embargo, bajo las mismas condiciones, MogIA acertó en su predicción de que Trump ganaría las primarias.

La monitorización de redes sociales para predecir resultados electorales es cada vez más popular. En septiembre, Nick Beauchamp, profesor de ciencias políticas de la Northeastern University, publicó un artículo sobre un experimento aplicando IA a más de 100 millones de tweets en las elecciones de 2012. Concluyó que la medición online ofrece resultados similares a las encuestas tradicionales.

El Estratega es el primer medio en español dirigido a directivos y profesionales de la Comunicación, el Marketing y la Transformación Digital. La redacción está compuesta por consultores, directivos y especialistas en activo cuyo objetivo es ofrecer una visión estratégica de los retos a los que se enfrenta el sector.

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  350. Concerning me and my partner we’ve owned excess MP3 avid gamers around the several years than I can rely, which include Sansas, iRivers, iPods (classic & touch), the Ibiza Rhapsody, and so on. But, the previous couple many years I have settled down in the direction of just one line of avid gamers. Why? Considering the fact that I was content towards locate how well-designed and enjoyment in the direction of employ the underappreciated (and commonly mocked) Zunes are.

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  356. The contemporary Zune browser is amazingly Terrific, yet not as very good as the iPod’s. It will work properly, still isn’t as immediate as Safari, and contains a clunkier interface. If you sometimes system upon using the website browser which is not an issue, yet if you happen to be designing to read through the world wide web alot towards your PMP then the iPod’s bigger display screen and superior browser may perhaps be critical.

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  372. The Zune concentrates upon being a Moveable Media Player. Not a internet browser. Not a sport machine. Quite possibly in just the foreseeable future it’ll do even improved inside people areas, but for by now it’s a excellent course towards prepare and pay attention toward your tunes and movies, and is without peer inside of that respect. The iPod’s advantages are its world-wide-web checking out and applications. If individuals sound added compelling, perhaps it is your least complicated decision.

  373. This is starting to be a bit more subjective, however I a lot like the Zune Market. The interface is colourful, contains added aptitude, and some awesome characteristics which includes ‘Mixview’ that let you suddenly check out comparable albums, new music, or other customers related toward what you are listening toward. Clicking upon a person of those people will heart upon that solution, and a different set of “neighbors” will appear into view, permitting by yourself in the direction of navigate in excess of looking into as a result of comparable artists, tunes, or people. Chatting of end users, the Zune “Social” is far too suitable fun, allowing oneself uncover many others with shared preferences and getting good friends with them. You then can listen to a playlist made primarily based upon an amalgamation of what all your pals are listening towards, which is much too enjoyable. All those fearful with privacy will be relieved towards recognize your self can avert the general public in opposition to observing your specific listening behavior if oneself so just take.

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  387. Apple currently contains Rhapsody as an application, which is a Wonderful begin, nevertheless it is at this time hampered by way of the incapability to keep domestically on your iPod, and includes a dismal 64kbps bit value. If this modifications, then it will considerably negate this ease for the Zune, yet the Ten music for each month will nevertheless be a significant plus in Zune Pass’ choose.

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  407. Apple at the moment contains Rhapsody as an application, which is a ideal start off, still it is now hampered through the incapacity toward retailer domestically on your iPod, and has a dismal 64kbps bit cost. If this adjustments, then it will fairly negate this ease for the Zune, yet the Ten new music for every month will even now be a huge additionally within just Zune Pass’ favor.

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